The cost of renewable energy is falling rapidly, with it being claimed that it is now competitive with conventional energy supply in some cases. That means that renewables are replacing coal in many situations and may do in more, with costs continuing to fall, for example down to €14.8/MWh for PV projects in Portugal , an all-time low. However, as the use of wind and solar expands, so will the cost of balancing their variable outputs. The technical costs of balancing variable renewables have been extensively studied. One UK estimate is that they might add 10-15% to generation costs at medium levels of penetration, depending on what balancing technology is used. Nevertheless, it’s usually argued that, if the share of renewables on the grid goes up further, so will the balancing costs, and dramatically so. That may be true, although it depends on how the system is developed: some of the balancing techniques will actually reduce costs. For example, a study by the UK National I...
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