Promoting his new book ‘100% Clean, Renewable Energy & Storage for
Everything’, Prof. Mark Jacobson from
Stanford University says that ‘this book
is a culmination of my life’s research so far. How to eliminate up to 7 million
air pollution deaths per year, global warming, energy poverty, and energy
insecurity’. It certainly is very comprehensive- and radical. It
examines the science, engineering, economic, social, and political aspects of
transitioning towns, cities, states, countries, businesses, and the world to
100% clean, renewable wind-water-solar (WWS) energy & storage for everything. Such a transition will, it
says, address air pollution, global warming, and energy security
simultaneously. The book also examines ways to reduce non-energy emissions. All
in all, a full assessment of the options and of the way ahead to a sustainable
future. It concludes that a transition
among all energy and non-energy sectors worldwide is technically and
economically possible.
It starts by defining the air pollution, global
warming, and energy insecurity problems we seek to solve (Chapter 1). Chapter 2
then discusses WWS electricity and heat generating technologies; transportation
technologies; building heating and cooling technologies, high-temperature
industrial heat technologies; appliances, and machines needed for a transition.
It further discusses energy efficiency measures, electricity storage, heat and
cold storage, and hydrogen storage. Finally, it discusses methods of addressing
non-energy sources of greenhouse gas and aerosol particle pollution. Chapter 3
goes into depth about why we do not need natural gas as a bridge fuel, fossil
fuels with carbon capture, nuclear power, biomass (with or without carbon
capture), biofuels, synthetic direct air capture, or geoengineering.
Because a 100% WWS world is mostly electrified
(with resultant major primary energy and conversion loss savings), Chapter 4
focuses on electricity basics. Solar photovoltaics (PV) and wind will, it says,
likely comprise the largest share of a WWS world. As such, Chapter 5 discusses
solar PV and solar radiation in depth. Chapter 6 discusses onshore and offshore
wind. Chapter 7 moves on to discuss steps in developing a 100% WWS roadmap for
a country, state, or city. Chapter 8 explains how to match power demand with
supply with 100% WWS plus storage. Finally, Chapter 9 outlines the authors
personal journey toward 100%; the movement that has arisen around the 100% WWS
roadmaps; laws and commitments that have been implemented to date due to them;
and the policies needed in the future to finally solve the problems of air
pollution, global warming, and energy security.
Drawing on his work with colleagues at Stanford and
the University of California Davis over the past decade or more, and fleshing
out the initial vision outlined in Scientific
American in 2009, this much anticipated book seems likely to become one of
the main defining texts of the renewable era. Several extracts have already
been circulated: e.g. showing
the path to 100% wind, water, solar by 2050, with no nuclear or biomass
and no fossil fuel.
The
rejection of biomass use is likely to be contentious, not least given the
commercial incentives to find green fuels for road vehicles and aircraft and
the use of forest derived biomass for power production, as well as for heating-
currently its main use. Jacobson does concede that biogas produced from the
anaerobic digestion of waste might be acceptable. The use of all the other
biomass sources however has major land-use and ecological implications, so they
are left out.
Bold
steps like that, and the rejection of nuclear and CCS, may make it harder to
win wide-scale acceptance from the more traditionally minded, but those of a
more radical bent may actually welcome its challenging targets, and also the
scenarios produced by the LUT University in Finland. They say PV solar can
expand even more, and even faster, so
100% renewables may be possible well before 2050. See for example the recent Solar Power Europe/LUT report which looks to
Europe getting 100% of all energy
from renewables by 2040.
At
present renewables supply around 27% of global electricity and although that is
expanding, so far less progress has been made for heating, cooling and
transport, so that, overall, renewables only supply around 11% of total final global energy.
So while getting to 100% of power may be possible by 2050, or even
earlier in some countries, reaching anything like 100% of all energy globally will be harder and will require some dramatic
changes in policy and support levels for renewables, as well as major
commitments to cutting demand. These changes will have social implications, and
although, as Jacobson notes, the energy transition will have major social benefits,
there will also be social costs- and obstacles
In ‘Empowering the Great Energy Transition’ (Columbia University
Press) Prof. Marilyn Brown, Prof. Benjamin Sovacool and Prof. Scott
Valentine argue that, although an energy transition is inevitable, there are
key obstacles which may slow down the transition - engendering unacceptable
costs as the perils attributed to progressive climate change worsen. However,
there are ways ahead. It’s a good
basic policy primer looking at how to attenuate the
obstacles. To support class use of the material in the book there are videos
which focus on the themes in each
chapter. So its ideal for educational use, from a social
science perspective, hopefully complimenting Jacobson’s more technical
treatise. Hopefully my new
book ‘Renewable Energy: Can it deliver?’(Polity),
which tries to combine both technology and policy, will find a niche somewhere
in there too, pulling it all together into a short, accessible text.
Although, one
way or another we are now quite well equipped with texts, what really matters
is action. However, despite the constraints, thankfully that does seem to be
happening around the world, with many countries now having adopted zero
net carbon targets, most of them
being focused on renewables. And according to IRENA, an
annual $4.5 trillion post COVID-19 economic stimulus
package based on renewables could boost world’s
economy by 1.3% and create
up to 19 million jobs by 2030. That might help
overcome some of social and political obstacles to wide-scale deployment.
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